Statistical Tables

Sales Up, Prices Down in 2011

Trends at a Glance
(Single-family Homes)
  Dec 11 Nov 11 Dec 10
Median Price: $392,000 $404,500 $420,888
Average Price: $479,636 $469,445 $486,640
Home Sales: 853 858 863
Sale/List Price Ratio: 98.4% 98.5% 98.0%
Days on Market: 56 54 58

Both single-family, re-sales homes and condo/loft sales were strong in 2011. Home sales were up 5.1% over 2010. Condo/loft sales rose for the third year in a row, gaining 16.5% over 2010.

Home prices fell last year after making substantial gains in 2010. The median price for homes dropped 7.3% while the average price was off 5.5%. The median price for condos/lofts was down for the fifth year in a row: 13.4%. The average price dropped 11.4%.

Click on Annual Trends in the menu to the left for full details plus the California Association of REALTORS® forecast for 2012.

Median Price for Homes Ends Year on Down Note

The median price for homes was down year-over-year for the twelfth month in a row, dropping 6.9%. The average price was down 1.4%.

Sales of single-family, re-sale homes fell 1.2% compared to last December.

Sales momentum…

was flat at +5.

We calculate…

sales momentum by using a 12-month moving average to eliminate seasonality. By comparing this year’s 12-month moving average to last year’s, we get a percentage showing market momentum.  

Pricing momentum…

peaked at +14% in October 2010 and has been slowly declining every since. In December, pricing momentum was down one point to -8.

More Statistics…

The sales price to list price ratio slipped 0.1 points to 98.4%.

Average days on market rose two days to 56 days. Days on market is calculated from when a home is listed to when it goes into contract.

Condo Statistics…

The median price for condos was off 6.2% from last December. This is the eighteenth month in a row the median price has been lower than the year before.

Condo sales were up 3.6% year-over-year.

The sales price to list price ratio fell 0.5 of a point to 98%.

Foreclosure Statistics…
In December, notices of default, the first step in the foreclosure process, in Alameda County fell 24.2% from November. Year-over-year, notices were down 33.2%, according to ForeclosureRadar.com.

Notices of sale, which set the date and time of an auction, and serve as the homeowner's final notice before sale, were up 6.7% year-over-year. Month-over-month, notices of sale spiked 23.3%.

After the filing of a Notice of Trustee Sale, there are only three possible outcomes. First, the sale can be cancelled for reasons that include a successful loan modification or short sale, a filing error, or a legal requirement to re-file the notice after extended postponements. Alternatively, if the property is taken to sale, the bank will place the opening bid. If a third party, typically an investor, bids more than the bank's opening bid, the property will be sold to the third party; if not, it will go back to the bank and become part of that bank's REO inventory.

Year-over-year, cancellations were up 39.5%. Compared to November, cancellations were down 1.7%.

Property that went back to banks surged 23.3% from November, but were down 1.4% year-over-year.

The total number of homes that have had a notice of default filed decreased by 29.6% in December compared to December 2010.

The total number of homes scheduled for sale decreased by 24.4%.

The number of homes owned by the bank dipped 2% year-over-year.

The local market has split into three parts: the lower-end, under about $500,000, where multiple offers are common; the mid-range, between $500,000 and $1MM where the market is more balanced; and the upper end, over $1MM.

 

Alameda County Days on Market

The real estate market is very hard to generalize. It is a market made up of many micro markets. For complete information on a particular neighborhood or property, call me.

If I can help you devise a strategy, call or click the buying or selling link in the menu to the left.

Monthly Statistics

Complete monthly sales statistics for the Alameda County are below. Monthly graphs are available for each city in the county.

December Sales Statistics
(Single-family Homes)
  Prices Unit     Change from last year Change from last month
Area Median Average Sales DOM SP/LP Median Average Sales Median Average Sales
County $392,000 $479,636 853 56 98.4% -6.9% -1.4% -1.2% 2.2% -3.1% -0.6%
Alameda $530,000 $544,311 28 64 98.2% -10.2% -11.5% -6.7% -3.1% 1.0% -15.2%
Albany $455,000 $463,188 10 36 100.3% -26.1% -24.5% 0.0% -31.9% -15.7% 42.9%
Berkeley $635,000 $662,030 47 50 100.5% 24.5% 13.2% 27.0% -14.1% -0.7% -9.6%
Castro Valley $486,555 $490,534 35 69 97.6% 13.5% 0.0% 25.0% 7.4% 7.6% -5.4%
Dublin $565,000 $564,948 29 37 98.2% -17.5% -19.0% 0.0% 3.9% 9.7% -12.1%
Fremont $464,500 $530,243 98 51 98.8% -15.5% -16.7% -21.6% -4.4% -6.2% -6.7%
Hayward $270,000 $504,567 111 57 98.5% -6.2% 54.5% -5.9% 73.0% -3.2% 16.8%
Livermore $406,000 $472,437 68 47 97.4% 0.5% -0.9% -19.0% 2.8% 8.3% -13.9%
Newark $376,912 $390,268 23 39 98.9% -5.8% -5.4% -8.0% 2.6% 6.5% 0.0%
Oakland $268,500 $365,468 216 52 99.4% 4.1% -0.5% -0.5% -6.2% -10.4% 3.8%
Piedmont $1,187,556 $1,333,764 8 27 97.0% 12.5% 18.2% -20.0% -11.8% -18.1% -11.1%
Pleasanton $665,000 $794,070 57 69 96.0% -5.7% -9.9% 11.8% 2.4% 3.1% 39.0%
San Leandro $267,000 $285,749 65 82 98.0% -16.9% -14.4% 25.0% -6.5% -11.0% -4.4%
San Lorenzo $250,000 $256,471 17 52 101.6% -14.4% -14.5% -10.5% -5.3% 2.0% -5.6%
Union City $395,500 $437,451 40 79 98.5% -9.1% -3.6% 48.1% 0.8% -3.5% -18.4%

 

December Sales Statistics
(Condos/Town Homes)
  Prices Unit     Change from last year Change from last month
  Median Average Sales DOM SP/LP Median Average Sales Median Average Sales
County $230,000 $244,694 259 62 98.0% -6.2% -9.9% 3.6% 3.3% 4.3% 0.8%
Alameda $299,544 $304,718 16 84 98.1% -26.9% -32.9% 45.5% -7.6% -19.9% 33.3%
Albany $278,000 $251,000 3 88 95.4% 7.4% -3.0% 50.0% 2.0% 13.2% -62.5%
Berkeley $339,500 $380,750 4 26 99.4% -34.1% -28.9% 0.0% 29.8% 7.8% 33.3%
Castro Valley $212,500 $245,250 4 86 99.2% -47.3% -54.6% -33.3% -10.8% -22.7% 100.0%
Dublin $313,000 $335,008 30 56 98.6% 2.6% 5.2% 30.4% 4.6% -5.7% 36.4%
Emeryville $240,000 $256,007 15 53 96.5% -9.4% 0.6% 36.4% -0.5% -2.6% 25.0%
Fremont $230,000 $266,356 51 50 97.5% -13.2% -9.3% -7.3% -4.0% 2.4% 2.0%
Hayward $169,000 $172,669 24 75 98.5% 10.8% 6.7% -20.0% 4.7% 9.0% -41.5%
Livermore $249,000 $233,047 21 35 98.9% 0.8% -4.3% 50.0% 28.8% 43.9% 50.0%
Newark $190,000 $201,333 3 47 97.0% -6.4% -5.7% -62.5% 17.2% 10.8% -50.0%
Oakland $185,000 $207,769 39 61 97.8% -17.8% -19.2% -4.9% -8.8% -9.3% -25.0%
Pleasanton $231,200 $250,046 20 68 97.9% -24.9% -21.8% 100.0% -15.7% -23.6% 233.3%
San Leandro $130,000 $162,771 17 112 95.5% -21.3% 4.7% 112.5% -8.3% -24.6% 41.7%
Union City $172,000 $187,983 12 56 101.7% -17.1% -10.8% -50.0% -15.2% -11.8% 9.1%