Alameda County 2011 Real Estate Market Trends

Home Prices Rebound

Both single-family, re-sales homes and condo/loft sales were strong in 2011. Home sales increased for the third year in a row and were up 46.4% over 2010. Condo/loft sales rose for the second year in a row, gaining 19.2% over 2010.

Home prices turned around last year after eking out a small gain in 2010. The median price for homes dropped 14.9% while the average price was off 18.2%. The median price for condos/lofts was down for the third year in a row: 4.5%. The average price dropped 13%.

Alameda County - 2011
(Single Family Homes)
  Prices Other Percent Change
Average Median Sold DOM SP/LP Average Median Sold
County $479,338 $405,000 9,857 52 98.9% 13.8% 13.5% -10.3%
Alameda $570,770 $550,000 328 56 98.1% -0.5% 0.7% -2.9%
Albany $588,636 $536,500 74 29 101.2% -0.5% 0.0% -8.3%
Berkeley $708,302 $635,000 508 39 100.3% 4.4% 5.6% 13.5%
Castro Valley $459,867 $435,000 415 57 97.8% 2.9% 0.8% -0.5%
Dublin $610,288 $581,000 333 52 98.2% 6.2% 9.0% -5.3%
Emeryville $199,250 $221,000 4 91 94.0% 7.6% 37.7% 33.3%
Fremont $608,703 $530,000 1,291 47 98.1% 8.1% 10.2% 6.8%
Hayward $318,774 $267,000 1,124 56 105.9% 11.0% 14.6% -22.6%
Livermore $480,373 $418,000 900 55 98.2% 4.6% 1.2% -0.1%
Newark $384,653 $375,000 322 52 99.1% 7.6% 6.3% -10.7%
Oakland $354,845 $245,000 2,485 52 99.0% 21.8% 51.5% -19.5%
Piedmont $1,443,202 $1,300,000 122 31 99.0% -1.6% 0.1% 38.7%
Pleasanton $824,476 $705,000 614 54 96.9% 4.8% 6.6% 9.3%
San Leandro $319,367 $300,000 663 59 97.9% -0.2% -1.5% -19.6%
San Lorenzo $281,598 $280,000 245 63 98.1% 0.7% -1.1% -26.9%
Union City $444,274 $415,000 420 48 98.4% 6.3% 8.1% -18.7%

California Association of REALTORS® 2011 Forecast

The California Association of REALTORS® expects the median home price to increase 1.7% in 2012. They forecast sales to increase by 1%.

“2012 will be another transition year for the California housing market, as the continued uncertainty about the U.S. financial system, job growth, and the stability of the overall economy remain in the forefront for all market participants,” said C.A.R. Vice President and Chief Economist Leslie Appleton-Young.  “An improvement in job growth, consumer spending, and corresponding gains in housing are essential to a broader recovery in the economy, but would-be buyers will remain cautious as they weigh these myriad uncertainties against the clear opportunities presented by today’s very affordable housing market.

“The most likely scenario is for the modest recovery to continue, and this should push sales up slightly next year by 1 percent and maintain levels that are significantly higher than those recorded during the depths of the housing downturn.

“The wild cards for 2012 are many, including federal, fiscal, monetary, and housing policies; the contentious political climate during an election year; and the strength of the U.S. economic recovery,” said Appleton-Young.

Alameda County
(Single Family Homes)
  Prices Other Percent Change
Average Median Sold DOM SP/LP Average Median Sold
1999 $329,249 $289,000 14,448 31 100.5%      
2000 $419,377 $363,800 13,796 21 103.5% 27.4% 25.9% -4.5%
2001 $446,291 $394,000 10,751 27 100.1% 6.4% 8.3% -22.1%
2002 $493,983 $435,000 13,101 26 100.4% 10.7% 10.4% 21.9%
2003 $520,771 $464,950 14,002 29 99.8% 5.4% 6.9% 6.9%
2004 $613,225 $550,000 13,519 21 102.2% 17.8% 18.3% -3.4%
2005 $720,669 $650,000 11,847 19 103.3% 17.5% 18.2% -12.4%
2006 $727,079 $650,000 10,220 28 100.0% 0.9% 0.0% -13.7%
2007 $751,487 $665,500 7,309 36 99.2% 3.4% 2.4% -28.5%
2008 $550,832 $475,000 8,084 50 98.0% -26.7% -28.6% 10.6%
2009 $445,561 $385,000 10,457 50 99.2% -19.1% -18.9% 29.4%
2010 $507,015 $436,975 9,381 43 99.5% 13.8% 13.5% -10.3%
2011 $479,338 $405,000 9,857 52 98.9% -5.5% -7.3% 5.1%

Alameda County
(Condominiums)
  Prices Other Percent Change
Average Median Sold DOM SP/LP Average Median Sold
1999 $197,514 $184,000 3,558 24 100.2%      
2000 $258,236 $242,000 3,638 18 102.7% 30.7% 31.5% 2.2%
2001 $297,630 $281,500 2,786 25 99.9% 15.3% 16.3% -23.4%
2002 $315,936 $299,000 3,520 26 99.9% 6.2% 6.2% 26.3%
2003 $333,076 $315,000 3,922 29 99.8% 5.4% 5.4% 11.4%
2004 $377,792 $360,000 3,864 18 102.2% 13.4% 14.3% -1.5%
2005 $458,379 $439,000 3,592 17 103.2% 21.3% 21.9% -7.0%
2006 $463,370 $440,000 3,160 32 99.8% 1.1% 0.2% -12.0%
2007 $460,923 $439,000 2,317 40 98.7% -0.5% -0.2% -26.7%
2008 $350,322 $329,475 1,859 55 97.1% -24.0% -24.9% -19.8%
2009 $280,110 $260,000 2,587 89 99.0% -20.0% -21.1% 39.2%
2010 $281,493 $259,750 2,620 44 99.2% 0.5% -0.1% 1.3%
2011 $249,536 $225,000 3,052 62 98.0% -11.4% -13.4% 16.5%

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DEFINITIONS

Median Price
Median Price is the price at which 50% of properties sold were above that price and 50% were below.
Average Price
Average Price is the sum of all prices divided by the number of sales.
DOM
Average Days on Market is calculated from when a property was first put on the market until it was put under contract, or taken off the market.
SP/LP
The average selling price divided by the average list price.